Isoko rya Citrus aurantium ryaragabanutse mu myaka ibiri ishize, aho ibiciro byagabanutse bikamanuka mu myaka icumi ishize mbere y’umusaruro mushya mu 2024. Nyuma y’uko umusaruro mushya watangiye mu mpera za Gicurasi, ubwo amakuru yo kugabanuka kw’umusaruro yakwirakwira, isoko yazamutse vuba, hamwe no kwiyongera kurenga 60% muminsi mike.Abacuruzi bazenguruka cyane, kandi ibikorwa byamasoko ntibikora.Icyerekezo cyisoko kirebwa nabacuruzi nimbaraga zo kugura amafaranga.
Imikorere y'isoko yacitrus Aurantiimu myaka ibiri ishize ntabwo yari afite icyizere, kandi igiciro cyagiye kigabanuka buhoro buhoro.Abacuruzi bakora ibicuruzwa bitembera vuba barashobora gusa kubona itandukaniro ryo hagati, kandi ibicuruzwa binini bigumana igihe kirekire.Mu kurangiza, Muri rusange nta nyungu ihari, ndetse hari nigihombo kinini.
Hagati muri Gicurasi, igice kinini cy’umusaruro wa Hunan cyinjiye mu gihe gishya cy’umusaruro.Muri kiriya gihe, isoko rya citrus aurantium ryakomeje kuba ryiza.Mu mpera za 24, igiciro cya 1.0-2.0 lime citrus aurantium cyari kikiri hagati ya 31-32RMB, ariko mu mpera za Gicurasi no mu ntangiriro za Kamena, kubera ko ibicuruzwa byihuta, isoko ryatangiye kuzamuka cyane.Ku ya 5 Kamena, amagambo yavuzwe aho yaturutse yageze kuri 47RMB, yiyongereyeho amafaranga 15 mu minsi icumi gusa.Ntibyari byitezwe.Kuki?citrus Aurantiibyakozwe muri uyu mwaka?Haba hari itandukaniro rinini hagati yimiterere yisoko mbere na nyuma yumwaka mushya?
1.Mu myaka yashize, ibiciro byo gukusanya ibiciro byagabanutse kurwego rwo hasi mumyaka icumi ishize.
Citrus aurantium ifite igiciro kinini cy’amafaranga 90 mu mateka (mu 2016), kandi yari hafi 80 y’amafaranga mbere y’umusaruro mushya muri 2017-2018.Nyuma y’umusaruro mushya muri 2018, isoko ryaragabanutse, rigera ku mafaranga 35 mu 2020, ryongera kwiyongera ku mafaranga 55 mu 2021 kubera igabanuka ry’umusaruro.Kumara kugeza 2022, umusaruro muri 2022-2023 wari usanzwe, ibarura ryarundanyirijwe, kandi isoko ryaragabanutse buhoro buhoro.Kugeza ku musaruro mushya mu 2024, igiciro mu karere k’umusaruro cyamanutse munsi y’amafaranga 30, kigera ku ntera yo hasi mu myaka icumi ishize.
2. Vuba aha, umubare w’abacuruzi bagura ibicuruzwa mu bice bishya by’umusaruro wiyongereye vuba, kandi isoko ryazamutse vuba.
Mbere yo gushyira ahagaragara ibicuruzwa bishya muri Gicurasi uyu mwaka, Citrus aurantium ntiyashoboye guhindura uko isoko ryifashe nabi, kandi isoko ryakomeje kuba intege nke.Abacuruzi benshi bemezaga ko igitutu cy’isoko kizarushaho gukaza umurego kuko Citrus aurantium ifite ibicuruzwa bihagije kandi ibicuruzwa bishya bizaboneka vuba.Biragoye kubona ibisubizo byiza mugihe isoko ari rinini, ariko ikitunguranye ni uko mu mpera za Gicurasi, uko umusaruro mushya wakomeje, umubare w’abacuruzi bagura ibicuruzwa biva mu nkomoko wariyongereye mu buryo butunguranye, kandi ibicuruzwa byahise biba byoroshye.Mugihe ibicuruzwa byakomeje kwiyongera, isoko ryatangiye inzira nziza.Gukomeza kuzamuka, vuba aha igiciro cyo kubaza 1.0-2.0 lime citrus aurantium imipira ikorerwa muri Hunan Yuanjiang igeze ku mafaranga 51-53, naho igiciro nigice nigice cyegereye amafaranga 50.Ugereranije n'ukwezi gushize, igiciro cyiyongereyeho hejuru ya 60RMB mu minsi mike gusa, ibyo bikaba bishobora kuvugwa ko kwiyongera cyane.
3.Kuki hariho itandukaniro rinini cyane mubihe byamasoko mbere na nyuma yuyu mwaka ibicuruzwa bishya?
Kuki?citrus Aurantiiisoko ituje mbere yuko ibicuruzwa byayo bishya bitangizwa?Icyamamare cya Citrus aurantium cyabaye gito mumyaka ibiri ishize.Byongeye kandi, ibiti byimbuto byatewe mugihe cyibiciro biri hejuru mumyaka yashize byari mubihe byera imbuto mumyaka yashize.Hamwe n’imihindagurikire y’ikirere, umusaruro wakomeje kuba mwiza mu myaka yashize.Byongeye kandi, kugurisha isoko rya Citrus aurantium byabaye bike mumyaka yashize.Hamwe n’ingaruka za citrus aurantium zitandukanye ahantu hatandukanye no kwegeranya ibarura, igiciro cy’isoko rya citrus aurantium cyagiye kigabanuka uko umwaka utashye, ibyo bikaba byaratumye igabanuka ry’icyizere cy’ubucuruzi cy’abacuruzi bakomoka.Byongeye kandi, nubwo mu mwaka wa 2023 hazaba urubura rwinshi mu turere twinshi tw’umusaruro wa Hunan na Jiangxi, n’imvura nyinshi muri uyu mwaka, nk’uko bigaragara mu turere twakorewe, igihe cy’indabyo muri uyu mwaka gisanzwe, kandi buri wese yemera ko ahari ntihazabaho impinduka nini mubisohoka muri uyumwaka, abadandaza bo hambere rero baritondera Ntabwo byigeze biba hejuru.Nubwo igiciro ari gito aho cyaturutse, ntabwo cyashimishije abantu bose.
None se kuki urugendo rwo gutanga rwihuta kandi isoko ryazamutse vuba nyuma yumusaruro mushya utangiye?Nubwo igihe cyururabyo rwa citrus aurantium mubice byingenzi bitanga umusaruro wa Hunan na Jiangxi uyumwaka bisa nkibisanzwe, mugihe cyanyuma cyo kwera imbuto, cyane cyane nyuma yigihe cyo gusarura, usanga mubyukuri igipimo cyimbuto kitameze neza nkuko byari byitezwe .Muri iki gihe, ahakorerwa umusaruro hagabanije umusaruro.Amakuru yatangiye gukwirakwira, kandi hamwe na hamwe hagabanijwe umusaruro mwinshi byatangaje ko igabanuka rya 40%!Ibintu byarushijeho gusobanuka, ibikorwa byo gutanga ibicuruzwa mu karere byatangiriye kwihuta bituje nyuma yo gutangira umusaruro mushya hagati muri Gicurasi.Ariko, muri iki gihe, ibyinshi mu bicuruzwa byari ibicuruzwa bishaje, kandi abadandaza bafite ibikoresho byinshi barushagaho kugurisha, kugurisha ibicuruzwa bishaje no kwitegura kwakira ibicuruzwa bishya.Kubwibyo, Muri iki gihe, nta mpinduka yagaragaye ku isoko.Mu mpera za Gicurasi, kubera ko ibicuruzwa bishya byakozwe buhoro buhoro mu byiciro, aho ibicuruzwa byakiriye byaguzwe cyane n'abacuruzi ba Anguo, kandi ibicuruzwa byakomeje kwiyongera.Mugihe itangwa ryibicuruzwa bishya ryarenze icyifuzo, agace k’umusaruro Ibiciro by isoko mukarere biriyongera umunsi kumunsi.Vuba aha, habaye ahantu hagaragara umusaruro ko abafite ibicuruzwa badashaka kubigurisha, mugihe abashaka ibicuruzwa bagifite icyifuzo gikomeye cyo kugura.Kubera igurishwa rishyushye, ingo zitunganya ahakorerwa umusaruro zirihutira kwegeranya ibicuruzwa bishya, kandi igiciro cyimbuto nacyo cyazamutse kikagera kuri 1212 / kilo.
Usibye uduce twinshi two kubyaza umusaruro Hunan na Jiangxi, uduce duto duto nka Sichuan, Chongqing, na Yunnan twagaragaje kandi ko uyu mwaka wagabanutse cyane, kandi ibicuruzwa byakiriwe n’abaguzi ahantu henshi byagabanutse cyane ugereranije n’imyaka yashize.
Muri rusange, igiciro cya Citrus aurantium kiri ku giciro cyo hasi mumyaka icumi ishize.Isoko ry'imiti y'ibyatsi mu Bushinwa ryateye imbere mu myaka ibiri ishize.Noneho byongeye kugabanuka k'umusaruro.Abacuruzi barushijeho kwiyongera mugihe gishya cy'umusaruro.Amafaranga yagize uruhare mu kubaka byimazeyo imyanya, yazamuye isoko.Izamuka ryihuse kandi ryinshi mugihe gito.
4. Isesengura ry'imiterere y'isoko
Abacuruzi batangaza ko ibarura ryubu ryacitrus Aurantiiiracyari nini, ariko ubuso bwakorewe imipira mito yazengurutse yabuze mbere.Vuba aha, abacuruzi ba Anguo baguze byimazeyo imipira mito mito mu bice by’umusaruro wa Hunan, akaba ari nayo mpamvu nyamukuru izamuka ry’isoko.Nubwo, nubwo ubwiyongere bwa vuba bwabaye bunini cyane, kandi nabacuruzi benshi mubice by’umusaruro ntibagurisha ibicuruzwa.Bakora cyane cyane mukuzenguruka.Ku ruhande rumwe, abacuruzi baracyafite impungenge zo kugabanuka kw'isoko mu myaka ibiri ishize.Ku rundi ruhande, ibyago byo kwiyongera birenze urugero byiyongereye, kandi n'abacuruzi nabo birinda..Ku bijyanye n’isoko, kubera ko citrus aurantium itari ubwoko bwinshi, nubwo ibiciro by isoko mu bice by’umusaruro byiyongereye ku buryo bugaragara vuba aha, ibikorwa by’isoko ntibikora cyane, kandi ibyamamare biri hasi yigihe gito ugereranije n’ahantu hakorerwa.Bishingiye cyane kubisabwa nyabyo.
Kubireba isoko, itangwa ryibicuruzwa ntirigomba kuba ikintu cyingenzi kigira ingaruka kumihindagurikire yimiterere ya citrus aurantium.Imbaraga zo kugura abadandaza namafaranga bizakomeza kwerekana inzira yacyo.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Jun-21-2024